Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.040740 0.047687 0.055338 0.064374 0.074736 0.086229 0.099923
2025-02-16 0.028362 0.036934 0.047298 0.060684 0.077440 0.097642 0.123754
2025-02-23 0.020465 0.029363 0.041064 0.057423 0.079529 0.108156 0.147791
2025-03-02 0.015458 0.024232 0.036680 0.055360 0.082354 0.119548 0.174172
2025-03-09 0.012492 0.021210 0.034447 0.055592 0.087990 0.135078 0.207796
2025-03-16 0.009808 0.017978 0.031207 0.053617 0.089870 0.145212 0.234675
2025-03-23 0.008605 0.016862 0.031001 0.056187 0.098851 0.166723 0.280707
2025-03-30 0.007290 0.015250 0.029641 0.056549 0.104179 0.182965 0.320105
2025-04-06 0.006000 0.013392 0.027492 0.055131 0.106181 0.193848 0.351751
2025-04-13 0.005012 0.011906 0.025740 0.054095 0.108594 0.205493 0.385611
2025-04-20 0.004594 0.011512 0.026014 0.056885 0.118242 0.230555 0.444874
2025-04-27 0.004164 0.011000 0.025951 0.058968 0.126741 0.254303 0.503877
2025-05-04 0.003434 0.009648 0.023926 0.056818 0.126876 0.262980 0.536898
2025-05-11 0.002933 0.008735 0.022701 0.056173 0.129953 0.277532 0.582348
2025-05-18 0.002450 0.007748 0.021124 0.054492 0.130626 0.287434 0.619786
2025-05-25 0.002069 0.006941 0.019822 0.053221 0.131984 0.298778 0.661040
2025-06-01 0.001836 0.006497 0.019340 0.053812 0.137520 0.319182 0.722292
2025-06-08 0.001540 0.005779 0.018006 0.052081 0.137494 0.327818 0.759989
2025-06-15 0.001448 0.005687 0.018352 0.054685 0.147990 0.360118 0.850271
2025-06-22 0.001289 0.005331 0.017891 0.055092 0.153209 0.381238 0.918263
2025-06-29 0.001100 0.004810 0.016842 0.053734 0.153868 0.392131 0.964760
2025-07-06 0.000947 0.004378 0.015974 0.052736 0.155304 0.404905 1.016480
2025-07-13 0.000903 0.004350 0.016376 0.055470 0.166811 0.442337 1.127182